Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.523256 0.606421 0.697791 0.805521 0.928969 1.065908 1.229235
2025-05-18 0.380784 0.492104 0.627325 0.803190 1.025381 1.296245 1.650961
2025-05-25 0.299224 0.418626 0.574600 0.792275 1.087090 1.471251 2.008415
2025-06-01 0.246353 0.367976 0.536636 0.785967 1.143260 1.634531 2.358540
2025-06-08 0.202239 0.320110 0.492411 0.760332 1.163646 1.744672 2.640752
2025-06-15 0.186377 0.310200 0.499631 0.807274 1.290321 2.014414 3.175031
2025-06-22 0.157625 0.275381 0.463599 0.782281 1.303203 2.114123 3.462255
2025-06-29 0.134578 0.246066 0.431723 0.758528 1.313059 2.206983 3.743996
2025-07-06 0.116477 0.222320 0.405511 0.739945 1.327577 2.306168 4.042170
2025-07-13 0.106643 0.211724 0.400126 0.755687 1.400557 2.506530 4.524622
2025-07-20 0.101340 0.208667 0.407468 0.794305 1.516607 2.789183 5.171833
2025-07-27 0.094741 0.202133 0.407454 0.819002 1.609352 3.038418 5.781111
2025-08-03 0.086527 0.191524 0.398942 0.827585 1.674869 3.248122 6.344863
2025-08-10 0.077852 0.178779 0.384766 0.823581 1.716155 3.417609 6.851275
2025-08-17 0.069575 0.165644 0.368081 0.812315 1.741443 3.558319 7.314576
2025-08-24 0.062767 0.154738 0.354596 0.805850 1.775190 3.717442 7.826457
2025-08-31 0.055180 0.140912 0.333084 0.779598 1.764775 3.787440 8.166074
2025-09-07 0.054051 0.142192 0.344991 0.827670 1.916773 4.198770 9.234360
2025-09-14 0.047828 0.130126 0.325148 0.802076 1.905650 4.271336 9.604758
2025-09-21 0.042426 0.119307 0.306835 0.777750 1.894501 4.342146 9.976415
2025-09-28 0.037958 0.110234 0.291551 0.758718 1.893200 4.433501 10.399430
2025-10-05 0.035867 0.107225 0.290810 0.774841 1.975489 4.715779 11.267270
2025-10-12 0.035108 0.107785 0.299139 0.814389 2.117476 5.143741 12.497324